Virginia vs North Carolina State 11/3/2012

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North Carolina State is a heavy favorite winning 82% of simulations over Virginia. Mike Glennon is averaging 288 passing yards and 3.1 TDs per simulation and Tony Creecy is projected for 48 rushing yards and a 40% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 18% of simulations where Virginia wins, Phillip Sims averages 1.87 TD passes vs 0.87 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.91 TDs to 1.26 interceptions. Kevin Parks averages 63 rushing yards and 0.5 rushing TDs when Virginia wins and 57 yards and 0.26 TDs in losses. North Carolina State has a 43% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 89% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is NCST -14
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